We all know the story, Members: Ground Hog busts out of hibernation, predicts near future weather patterns, Bill Murray movies are rerun, and top hats are enjoyed by all. This week as the Marmota monax whistle-pigs you into the coming season, remember: weather is not climate; prediction comes in flavors, like statistical inference and the scientific method or divination and forecasting; Bill Murray likes golf better than the evening news; top hats are great places to keep your speech. Rinse and repeat, members.

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